hunch

Anonymous prediction markets for your team, in Slack.

What

Hunch is a Slack bot for thoughtful forecasting. Anyone asks a question — a launch date, a hire, a target. Teammates commit play-money hunches to YES or NO.

The aggregate stays hidden until the question resolves. Each person commits their own belief, in private. The truth shows up at resolution — along with who was right.

Why

The standard prediction market shows everyone the live consensus. That's a feature in finance and a bug at work. People anchor to the leader's view, conform to the loudest voice, and the signal you wanted gets eaten by the meta-game of guessing what everyone else thinks.

Hunch hides the aggregate. Bets are anonymous — not your manager, not the question's creator sees who bet what. What you get back is what your team actually believes.

How

  1. 1 Install Hunch in Slack. Two clicks. Free during the beta.
  2. 2 Ask a question. /hunch create opens a modal — write the question, the resolution criteria, and a deadline.
  3. 3 Your team weighs in. Each person commits play-money hunches to YES or NO. Everyone starts with 10,000.
  4. 4 Resolve. When the question is decided, the creator resolves it. Winners take from losers. The aggregate is revealed.
Add to Slack

Free during the beta. You'll get a welcome DM with three sample questions to start.